Nanosats take off, but they don't take over
TMT Predictions 2015
Deloitte predicts that by the end of 2015 over 500 additional nanosats will be in orbit.
Deloitte predicts that by the end of 2015 over 500 additional nanosats will be in orbit. Nanosatellites have a mass of between 1-10 kg, compared to hundreds or even thousands of kilograms for the average commercial satellite. Prior to 2014, only 75 nanosats had ever been launched, so the prediction calls for a 400% increase. Nanosats are attractive for many reasons: they are cheaper, lighter, easier to launch, and (as a result of Moore’s Law) increasingly capable of more complex computational tasks. But Deloitte further predicts that nanosats are likely to be additive, and not disruptive for the commercial satellite market. Not just for this year and next, but even in the medium term, there are specific barriers related to the laws of physics that will likely prevent nanosats from stealing away markets that larger satellites now dominate.