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TMT Predictions 2015

Our objective with TMT Predictions is to identify critical inflection points that we believe should inform industry strategic thinking, and to explain how we think these will manifest over the next 12-18 months for companies in Technology, Media, Telecommunications (TMT), and other industries.

View or download the full TMT Predictions 2015 report to learn more about the predictions.

Technology Predictions

Explore the future in Technology:

• The Internet of Things really is things, not people
  
• Drones: high-profile and niche 
• 3D printing is a revolution: just not the revolution you think
• Click and collect booms in Europe
• Smartphone batteries: better but no breakthrough
• Nanosats take off, but they don’t take over
• The re-enterprization of IT

Media Predictions 

Explore the future in Media:

• Short form video: a future, but not the future, of television
• The ‘generation that won’t spend’ is spending a lot on media content
• Print is alive and well–at least for books

Telecommunications Predictions

Explore the future in Telecommunications:

• One billion smartphone upgrades
• The connectivity chasms deepen: the growing gap in broadband speeds
• Contactless mobile payments (finally) gain momentum

TMT Predictions 2014

2014's TMT Predictions hit the mark with 13 of the 14 predictions hitting a more than 70% accuracy rate. View the TMT Predictions report card for 2014. 

TMT Predictions' objective is to identify critical inflection points we believe should inform industry strategic thinking, and to explain how we think these will manifest over the next 12-18 months for companies in Technology, Media, Telecommunications (TMT), and other industries.

• View or download the interactive report PDF (optimal experience, including all videos)
• Watch the videos (YouTube)
• View or download the full report to learn more about the predictions

Technology predictions

Explore the future in Technology: Sales of smartphones, tablets, PCs, TV sets and videogame consoles set to exceed $750 billion; What can we expect in wearable computers and other new device form factors? The emergence of Massive Open Online Courses (MOOCs), and how will faster broadband boost online healthcare: eVisits

Learn more about the individual Technology predictions:

• The $750 billion converged living room: a plateau approaches
  
• Wearables: the eyes have it
  
• One became many: the tablet market stratifies
  
• Massive Open Online Courses (MOOCs): not yet disruptive, but the future looks bright
  
• eVisits: the 21st century housecall

Media predictions

Explore the future in Media: Pay-television—cord cutting or increased subscriptions? Increased accuracy in measuring television viewing including viewership on devices; The continuing growth in value of premium sports broadcast rights; A growth story in recorded music performance rights set to exceed one billion dollars, and how use of satellite links impact the growth of ‘cordless’ video-on-demand (VOD) in countries with low bandwidth?

Learn more about the individual Media predictions:

• Doubling up on pay-TV
• Television measurement: for better and worse
• Broadcast sports rights: premium plus
• Performance rights lift recorded music revenues
  
• 'Cordless' video-on-demand leaps in Sub-Saharan Africa

Telecommunications predictions

Explore the future in Telecoms: Short messaging services vs. instant messaging? Phablets a $125billion market led out of Asia; Smartphone penetration set to rise in the over 55 group, and the costs of ‘ruggedized’ data devices is set to decline.

Learn more about the individual Telecommunications predictions:

• Short messaging services versus instant messaging: value versus volume
• Phablets are not a phad
• The smartphone generation gap: over-55? There's no app for that
• 'Ruggedized' data devices at $250: reinventing the business case for mobile field force
   

TMT Predictions 2013

Launched in January 2013, TMT Predictions are Deloitte's view of the key developments over the next 12-18 months that are likely to have significant medium- to long-term impacts for companies in Technology, Media, Telecommunications (TMT), and other industries.

Member firms hosted launch events worldwide, and several have created their own locally relevant Predictions reports, tailored specifically to their markets, including the South East Asia perspective (Bahasa translation) and reports from India and China.

Explore TMT Predictions 2013 by downloading the full report, exploring the midyear checkpoint infographic, and listening to the midyear podcast. The 2013 TMT Predictions report includes the following content:

Technology predictions:

• The PC is not dead: it's about usage not units
• Bring your own computer: a tale of two interpretations
• P@$$1234: the end of strong password-only security
• Enterprise Social Networks: another tool, but not yet a panacea
• Let's get together: crowdfunding portals bring in the bucks
• The button stays beautiful

Media predictions:

• 4K kicks off
• Dual video screening readies for prime time
• Connected TV: hits and misses
• Over-the-top may lift legacy broadcasters and distributors more than pure plays
• The reality of "cord cutting" in North America

Telecommunications predictions:

• A strong year for LTE adoption
• Smartphones ship a billion but usage becomes simpler
• "Mobile" advertising is dead. Long live tablet and smartphone advertising
• All-you-can-app
• The looming spectrum shortage: worse before it gets better
• We invite you to explore TMT Predictions 2014 (above), which launched on 14 January 2014.

TMT Predictions 2012

2012 marked the eleventh year of Deloitte's TMT Predictions. What started in 2001 with ten predictions about mobile telephony has evolved and grown into one of Deloitte’s Technology, Media & Telecommunications group’s most anticipated research publications, covering all three converging industries. The 2012 TMT Predictions report includes the following content:

Technology predictions:

Consumer tech demand defies the economic headwinds

It takes two to tablet: the rise of the multi-tablet owner

Billions and billions: big data becomes a big deal

Hard times for the hard disk: solid state storage surges

Ambient radio frequency power harvesting: a drop in the bucket

3D printing is here – but the factory in every home isn’t here yet!

Media predictions:

Targeted television advertisements miss the point

The schedule dominates, still

All aboard for the catch-up commuter thanks to the portable DVR

A “brand” new day for online ads

Market research is all in your head: MRI machines and media

Extracting the premium from social games

Online coupon intermediaries: from novelty, to celebrity, to sizeable niche

Telecommunications predictions:

The $100 “smartphone” reaches its first half billion

NFC and mobile devices: payments and more!

Web bypass: delivering connectivity without the Internet

Here come more data caps: it’s the end of the (wire)line for unlimited Internet

So many apps – so little to download

TMT Predictions 2011

The 2011 Predictions marked a major milestone as the 10th edition of Deloitte's Predictions for the technology, media & telecommunications (TMT) sector. History and trivia buffs can download the full report of the 2011 TMT Predictions here.