The search for value

A season of cautious spending

Our 2024 holiday retail outlook may give retailers cause for cautious optimism around spend this season, with consumers shopping for value, trust, and transparency above all else.

Consumers have had another challenging year of disruption and persistent macroeconomic conditions. Increased inflation, rising debts, and threats of a potential recession have all materialized into more selective budgets for the Canadian shopper. Despite the shorter shopping season ahead, consumers will be more cautious, searching for retailers who check value and convenience off their wish lists.

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Rise of the selective shopper

Holiday spending is forecasted to increase, but customers are being more discerning about where they invest their dollars.

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Shopping season shortens, and competition rises

Retailers will have a competitive 3.5 weeks to win consumers as most shoppers look to spend their budgets on or after Black Friday.

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Consumers explore new digital shopping platforms

Online marketplaces and social commerce are growing in popularity, as well as new, more wallet-friendly e-commerce platforms.

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Data breaches may cause consumer trust to waver

Privacy and data security concerns are top-of-mind as Canadians shop online.

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Many consumers are skeptical of Generative AI

Younger shoppers are more likely to adopt GenAI and use it for their shopping experience, but many Canadians still don’t trust it.

Rise of the selective shopper

Although consumers are spending more than last year, budgets are still tight. Many have consistent economic concerns which will impact what they buy and how they spend their money this holiday season.

+10%

Spending is up 10%, but still behind pre-pandemic levels (-13% from 2019)

65%

believe prices are higher this year than last

55%

are concerned about rising housing and rental costs

Shopping season shortens, and competition rises

Consumers' search for value will lead to a shorter shopping season as they hold off spending the bulk of their budgets on or after Black Friday.

48%

will shop on Black Friday

22%

of the holiday budget will be spent on Black Friday

42%

believe the best deals are available on Black Friday

Retailer: ICYMI


Retailers must fine-tune marketing and promotional tactics to drive early and Black Friday sales, ensuring they stock the right products and meet delivery expectations during this exceptionally busy shopping season.

67% of the consumer budget will be spent on or after Black Friday, leaving a 3.5-week runway for retailers.

Consumers explore new digital shopping platforms

Consumers expect to spend an increasing share of their holiday budget online. In their search for value, consumers are shopping at various competitive marketplaces, including new digital and social commerce platforms.

43%

of holiday budgets will be spent online

51%

are Amazon Prime members

33%

have shopped on emerging platforms in the past three months (Temu/Alibaba/Shein)

40%

of shoppers aged 18-34 are open to shopping on Instagram

Retailers: ICYMI


This shopping season, retailers should closely monitor and consider testing emerging shopping alternatives such as social commerce to engage younger shoppers.

Data breaches may cause consumer trust to waver

One in four consumers have been impacted by a retailer data breach, driving 60% of consumers to either stop shopping or shop less often at impacted retailers. Consumers are placing more value on privacy and security in their online shopping experiences.

24%

have been impacted by a retailer data breach

21%

stopped shopping at retailers they experienced a data breach at

Retailers: ICYMI


In the face of data breaches and security risks, retailers must sharpen cybersecurity measures and align them with efforts to build and maintain consumer confidence.

Many consumers are skeptical of Generative AI

51% of consumers believe they understand GenAI. But our data shows that overall, only 15% of Canadians trust GenAI, and more than half are concerned about the future it holds.

59%

are concerned about the future of GenAI technology

33%

have used a GenAI tool in the past three months

Although budgets are a bit bigger, 'tis the season of cautious spending for most consumers. Retailers who offer value and transparency will find themselves on top this year. Unwrap the trends and insights defining Canada’s 2024 holiday retail landscape.

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