Dynamic Pricing

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Dynamic Pricing

What product price is the right one for each customer segment? Can anything be done with prices visible to everyone (like one-shop)? What about retail segments using individual discounts, what type of discount is the right one?

Price sensitivity of e-commerce customers puts a lot of pressure on businesses. To remain competitive in the e-commerce environment, you have to be able to immediately react to market conditions, adjusting prices accordingly. Dynamic Pricing helps you to manage this complex task.

Solution

Deloitte Dynamic Pricing (DDP) is the solution aiming to automate the daily pricing routine for e-shop operations and other retailers. It is designed to handle a large volume of items (tens of thousands). The prices recommended by DDP are optimized by a mathematical algorithm. It maximizes total gross margin, total gross margin minus distribution cost, total turnover, or any combination of the three quantities. Business constraints such as minimum price, minimum margin, maximum price or fixed price are respected and preserved. From an IT perspective, DDP consists of a database, engine and user interface. It can be used as a service, or implemented on premises.

With the discounting use-case, it is necessary to use the customer-related data, the results of the micro-segmentation and the price sensitivity of those segments.

By deploying dynamic pricing, we helped increase the annual sales of a major aviation industry company by EUR 4.5 million.

The Dynamic Pricing consists of the following five components:

Strategy segmentation

The pricing strategy can have two extreme settings. Maximum profit (or gross margin) is the strategy that prioritizes profit and sets prices with respect to maximum gross margin. On the other hand, maximum turnover is a strategy that maximizes turnover on the condition of at least zero profit. You can choose any strategy you wish between these two extremes, e.g. 30% profit and 70% turnover.
 

Product segmentation

Products (items, types of goods) are grouped according to the purchasing behavior of the customer and according to the price level into homogeneous segments based on which the demand curve is modelled. For product segmentation we use hierarchical clustering that moves in the bottom-up method.  
 

Demand modelling

Each product segment is subject to price elasticity analysis. We model what is referred to as the demand curve showing the interdependency of the price and the number of pieces sold. The demand model not only comprises the actual price of the item, but also the price charged by the competition, seasonality, the day of the week, the stage of the product’s life cycle etc. Demand is assessed in terms of the shape of the demand curve and model accuracy, based on which we decide whether the optimal price will be determined using optimization of the multi-armed bandit algorithm. Demand models are updated on a regular basis once every month together with product segmentation.
 

Optimization

Optimization entails creating the optimal price. The task of optimization is formulated as a quadratic programming problem where the objective function is profit or the gross margin, the vector of unknowns is the optimal prices for individual items and the limitation is the conditions for a minimal total turnover, while in respect of individual items the limitation is a minimal price, maximal price, fixed price, minimal margin or the underestimating of competition. Optimization does not comprise all items but only those whose demand curves meet the set quality requirements. The resulting optimal prices are rounded up and saved in a database. Optimization is launched on a daily basis, with a summary report on changes in prices of margins likewise generated and issued on a daily basis.
 

Multi-armed bandit

In respect of a certain percentage of items, the demand model does not meet the minimal quality requirements (eg the resulting demand curve is rising, the item is new from yesterday and no demand curve exists for it as yet). In respect of items like these, optimization is not a suitable method. The solution is an algorithm referred to as the “multi-armed bandit”, using which Google successfully selects the best website design to achieve the maximal click rate. In essence, it entails the testing of several (say, three) pre-defined price levels and a smart rule which switches to the most profitable one as soon as possible. The advantage is that the bandit may be used wherever demand curves fail. Therefore, combined with optimization, the bandit provides a full solution to all items in the product catalogue

Contact

Veronika Bauer

Veronika Bauer

Senior Manager

Veronika is a Senior Manager in the Advanced Analytics department. She specialises mainly in analytical end-to-end solutions for clients from the finance, energy and retail industries. She focuses on ... More

Filip Trojan

Filip Trojan

Senior Manager

Filip is a Senior Manager in the Advanced Analytics deparment. He has over 15 years of experience in analytics, machine learning, mathematical optimisation and data science. He has an extensive variet... More

Tervel Šopov

Tervel Šopov

Senior Manager

Tervel is a Senior Manager in the Analytics & Information Management team of the Consulting function of Deloitte Czech Republic. He has more than 6 years of experience with the data analytics area. He... More