Planning scenarios for resilient leaders

Every one of us is aware of the shocking impact the COVID-19 pandemic has had on our day-to-day lives. The virus has transformed “business as usual,” our professional and social relationships, and the speed of technological adoption—all in a matter of weeks.

We know there are lots of models and predictions out there already, but no one can say with certainty what the course of the virus will be, much less the lasting impact it will have on business and society. That’s why Deloitte, in partnership with Salesforce, gathered some of the world’s most famous and experienced scenario thinkers to explore what the world may look like once we recover from COVID-19, in an effort designed to help organizations prepare for the world after this crisis has passed.

In Scenarios for resilient leaders you will find a macro perspective exploring what potential futures may look like in three to five years. Note that these scenarios are not predictions about what will happen. They were created to help us think rigorously about what could happen, designed to open our eyes to new opportunities or hidden risks.

Furthermore, our team at Deloitte Croatia adapted these scenarios for the Croatian context using 3 core perspectives: Storm, Tornado, and Tsunami. Should you wish to know more about them, feel free to contact us directly.

This document should ultimately spark a number of questions around implications and next steps, including what capabilities, partnerships, business models, and ecosystems should be explored as a result. Key questions we recommend considering include:

• Which scenario best describes the world your organization is preparing for?
• Is there a scenario that your organization is currently ignoring—but shouldn’t be?
• What would you need to do differently in order to win in each of these scenarios? 
• What capabilities, partnerships, segments, and workforce strategies do you need to learn more about?

As always, our goal is to provide relevant and timely information from trusted sources that can help you make smart business decisions. I hope you find our perspective valuable as you manage and lead in the coming months and years ahead.

Please let me know if there is anything I can do to support you-personally or professionally. We're all in this together.