Predictions

Widening Populism is Becoming an Annoying Imbalance for World Economy

Global Risk Watch Vol.14 May 2016

Risk intelligence e-Newsletter provides an overview of various corporate management risks from a global perspective featuring key events that occurred over the past month and need to be carefully examined for risk management purposes. The Center for Risk Management Strategy (CRMS) as part of the global Deloitte Tohmatsu Group provides you with experienced analysis on risk management and financial regulation.

Overview Macroeconomic and Financial Risks

# Widening Populism is Becoming an Annoying Imbalance for World Economy
Tsuyoshi Oyama, Partner/Head of Center for Risk Management Strategy at Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu LLC 

The global markets have continued to keep its composure.
Compared to last month, the prospects for the US and Chinese economies have somewhat exacerbated, but this has further confirmed the outlook of interest rate hike postponement by the FRB (Federal Reserve Board) in the US.
This factor, combined with a steady crude oil price, actually laid out a rather “friendly” environment for the global assets market and foreign exchange markets of emerging economies.

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(PDF,270KB)

Overview of Development in Financial Regulations

# Panama Papers: a New Seed of Headache for the Financial Services Industry?
Koichi Iwai, Senior Manager,Center for Risk Management Strategy at Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu LLC

The impact of Panama Papers has finally extended to the financial services industry.
Moreover, the impact is expected to expand more and more in the future.

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(PDF,267KB)

Highlight of Indicator for this Month

# Another Sign of Real Estate Bubble in China
Yasuhiro Sobue, Manager, Center for Risk Management Strategy at Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu LLC 

The real estate market in China has once again shown signs of overheating.
Chart 1 indicates the grow of sales prices of residential building in 70 major cities (month –on-month 70 cities average change), with March figures surged to the highest level since May in 2013.

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(PDF,325KB)

Seminars, Conference & Publication

【Deloitte Seminars & Conference】

# Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu Financial Services Industry Business Seminar (Will be held on July 7th, 2016, Tokyo)
In this annual seminar, Tsuyoshi Oyama (Head of CRMS(Center for Risk Management Strategy), Deloitte Asia Pacific Risk and Capital Management Leader), will lecture regarding “Nine trends for deciphering the global financial regulations”, Shigeyuki Goto (Director at CRMS) –“ The New Normal and challenges for Insurance ERM”.


 

【Outside Lectures & Conference】

# The Asian Banker Summit 2016(Held on May 10th – 12th, 2016, Hanoi, Vietnam)
Tsuyoshi Oyama (Head of CRMS, Deloitte Asia Pacific Risk and Capital Management Leader), joined as the guest and speaker to discuss in the topics of Financial Markets Dialogue-“Asia’s commodity markets and the impact of China’s changing commodity appetite amidst slowing growth” and also “Organisational Structure, Teamwork and People”.

>>Detail Information (via external event website)

# Risk Japan 2016 (Will be held on June 9th, 2016, Shangri-La Hotel, Tokyo)
 
Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu is the principal sponsor of the upcoming Risk Japan 2016 conference, hosted by Risk Asia.

At this conference, a wide variety of topics on risk management for financial institutions will be presented and active discussions will be led by professionals from supervisory authorities, financial institutions, and consulting firms. The annual conference has been well received by previous participants as it provides a great opportunity for acquiring valuable information regarding international and domestic regulatory changes and risk management.

Tsuyoshi Oyama (Head of CRMS, Deloitte Asia Pacific Risk and Capital Management Leader), Shigeyuki Goto  (Director at CRMS), Koichi Iwai (Senior Manager at CRMS), and Kanji Okazaki (Senior Manager at Financial Industry Group) will join this conference as presenters and panel moderators. 

>>Detail Information (via external event website) 


# OBIC Information System Seminar (Will be held on June 14th, 2016, Tokyo)
In this seminar, Tsuyoshi Oyama (Head of CRMS, Deloitte Asia Pacific Risk and Capital Management Leader) will discuss regarding “Whether negative interest rate policy can save Japan? – A forward looking risk management to be required under increasing uncertainties of the global economy”. 


# <Special Event> Lectures at the Institute of Financial Risk management and Audit (Will be held on June 14th, 2016, Tokyo)
In this seminar, Tsuyoshi Oyama (Head of CRMS, Deloitte Asia Pacific Risk and Capital Management Leader) will lecture regarding “At the forefront of Risk Appetite Framework”. Koichi Iwai (Senior Manager at CRMS) –“ Domestic and overseas regulatory trends on RAF and stress testing”, Takayuki Sato (Senior Manager at CRMS) –“At the forefront of stress testing”.

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