Predictions

Temporary Lull? Before Another Storm in the Financial Market

Global Risk Watch Vol.8 November 2015

Risk intelligence e-Newsletter provides an overview of various corporate management risks from a global perspective featuring key events that occurred over the past month and need to be carefully examined for risk management purposes. The Center for Risk Management Strategy (CRMS) as part of the global Deloitte Tohmatsu Group provides you with experienced analysis on risk management and financial regulation.

Overview Macroeconomic and Financial Risks

◆Temporary Lull? Before Another Storm in the Financial Market
Tsuyoshi Oyama, Partner/Head of Center for Risk Management Strategy at Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu LLC

The difference in opinions within the FRB among its FOMC members seem to be overcome only to conclude a December rate hike. Indeed, since the FOMC statement in October, FRB Chair Yellen, Vice-Chair Fisher and New York Fed President Dudley’s comments, as well as brighter employment indicators published in early November sent a strong signal that an interest rate hike would occur soon. Meanwhile, the FX market in emerging markets saw a strange moment of tranquility.

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Overview of Development in Financial Regulations

◆The Final Phase? Framework to Resolve “Too Big to Fail”
Koichi Iwai, Senior Manager,Center for Risk Management Strategy at Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu LLC

Regulatory reforms against “Too Big to Fail (TBTF)” have reached the final stage. Financial Stability Board (FSB) published a series of regulatory documents regarding the insolvency proceedings of global systemically important banks (G-SIBs) and insisted that they could erase the TBTF problem once and for all.

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(PDF,398KB)

Highlight of Indicator for this Month

◆ Likelihood of December Interest Rate Hike Reemerged
Yasuhiro Sobue, Manager, Center for Risk Management Strategy at Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu LLC 

Since late October, the likelihood of an interest rate hike at the next FOMC meeting to be held on December 15th-16th has surged.

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(PDF,403KB)

Outside lectures

◆ Lecture at Seminar- Info Seminar ‘Insurance Forum’ (November 26th,2015)

Shigeyuki Goto (Director at CRMS) discussed regarding ‘Insurance ERM related regulatory developments and challenges faced by insurance companies’

>>Detail Information (Japanese)

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