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Health Care Foresight

Identifying Megatrends

Health care futures are typified by a convergence of drivers or megatrends that are rapidly shaping health care futures. Megatrends are defined as the great forces in human and technology development that affect the future in all areas of human activity, in a horizon of ten to fifteen years.

We should also recognise that none of these drivers and megatrends in and of themselves will shape a foreseeable future. Rather, it is suggested that a convergence of drivers, needs and wants both in and outside of health care will result in health care futures that are discontinuous with current trajectories. There is a significant increase in the scope of possibilities for health care futures – health care provision is no longer linear and continuous, predictable or immune from disruptive change.

Health Care Foresight: Identifying Megatrends

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