2015 global aerospace and defense industry to grow around 3 percent
2015 global aerospace and defense industry outlook
Deloitte report signals continued strength of commercial aerospace from rising passenger travel demand and production of next generation fuel-efficient aircrafts.
Singapore, 10 March 2015 — Revenue and earnings growth in the commercial aerospace sector is expected to be a bright spot and driving force behind the global aerospace and defense (A&D) industry performance in 2015. While the rate of growth for the overall industry has been slowing over the last two years as a result of declines in defense sector spending, the commercial aerospace sector is likely to enjoy close to an 8 percent growth rate according to the Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu Limited (Deloitte Global) Manufacturing Industry group 2015 Global aerospace and defense industry outlook.
“The commercial aerospace sector is expected to set new records for aircraft production in 2015. The accelerated replacement cycle of obsolete aircraft with next generation fuel-efficient aircraft, and growing passenger travel demand, especially in the Middle East and the Asia-Pacific region are key drivers behind this trend,” said Tom Captain, Deloitte Global Aerospace and Defense Sector Leader.
“Recent lower oil prices will not likely have a dramatic lasting impact on production rate increases for commercial aircraft, given the nine-year backlog the industry enjoys,” explains Captain. “Supply chain capacity and capability remain the critical risks that need to be managed in order to maintain production commitments.”
Global revenues in the defense sector will likely continue to decrease in 2015 at an estimated 1.3 percent. Yet, defense spending is increasing in several areas of the globe, especially in the United Arab Emirates (UAE), Saudi Arabia, India, South Korea, Japan, China, and Russia, as these countries equip their militaries with modern defense platforms and technologies. The report noted that escalating tensions between nations and damaging cyber-attacks may have an impact on future spending in the sector.
Over the next few years, the defense sector will be challenged in two major ways: how to grow profitably in a declining market and what actions are necessary to cut costs to maintain acceptable financial performance. Successful defense companies are addressing these challenges by branching out into adjacent markets, focusing on foreign military sales, and investing in next generation product development in cyber security, defense electronics, precision strike, unmanned systems, and advanced analytics.
“As we celebrate the 111th anniversary of the Wright Brothers’ first powered flight, we are reminded that the industry is still young, yet it has contributed much with game changing technologies,” adds Captain. “For 2015, technology innovation is the key to advancements in the industry in order to address current markets and to create demand in markets that have yet to be addressed.”
Frank Valenta, Aerospace & Defence Leader, Deloitte Southeast Asia says, “Southeast Asia continues to be one of the fastest growing regions in terms of passenger travel and freight transportation volumes. The growth is driven by the confluence of an expanding middle class and the success of Low-Cost-Carriers (LCCs) in reducing prices across the region. Projections are for over 3,000 aircrafts to be delivered to Southeast Asia, part of over 13,000 to Asia Pacific, over the next 20 years. Beyond airlines, many governments are targeting the aerospace & defense industry as part of their economic development strategies to increase value-added manufacturing activity. The inherent complexity of the technologies involved combined with the need for absolute safety create an enormous demand for qualified personnel, presenting the industry with a significant human capital challenge.”
To view the report, please click here.