2015 Global Aerospace & Defense Outlook
Growth for commercial aerospace; defense decline continues
According to the 2015 Global aerospace & defense outlook, the industry is likely to grow about 3%. The accelerated replacement cycle of obsolete aircraft with next generation fuel-efficient aircraft, and growing passenger travel demand especially in Middle East & Asia-Pacific are key growth drivers.
Revenue and earnings growth in the commercial aerospace sector is expected to be a bright spot and driving force behind the global aerospace and defense (A&D) industry performance in 2015. While the rate of growth for the overall industry has been slowing over the last two years as a result of declines in defense sector spending, the commercial aerospace sector is likely to enjoy close to an 8 percent growth rate according to the Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu Limited (Deloitte Global) Manufacturing Industry group 2015 Global aerospace and defense industry outlook.
The commercial aerospace sector is expected to set new records for aircraft production in 2015. The accelerated replacement cycle of obsolete aircraft with next generation fuel-efficient aircraft, and growing passenger travel demand, especially in the Middle East and the Asia-Pacific region are key drivers behind this trend.
Global revenues in the defense sector will likely continue to decrease in 2015 at an estimated 1.3 percent. Yet, defense spending is increasing in several areas of the globe, especially in the United Arab Emirates (UAE), Saudi Arabia, India, South Korea, Japan, China, and Russia, as these countries equip their militaries with modern defense platforms and technologies. The report noted that escalating tensions between nations and damaging cyber-attacks may have an impact on future spending in the sector.
Over the next few years, the defense sector will be challenged in two major ways: how to grow profitably in a declining market and what actions are necessary to cut costs to maintain acceptable financial performance. Successful defense companies are addressing these challenges by branching out into adjacent markets, focusing on foreign military sales, and investing in next generation product development in cyber security, defense electronics, precision strike, unmanned systems, and advanced analytics.