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Ethics and the future of work

by Jeff Schwartz, Brad Denny, David Mallon, Yves Van Durme, Maren Hauptmann, Ramona Yan, Shannon Poynton
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    11 minute read 15 May 2020

    Ethics and the future of work From “could we” to “how should we"

    11 minute read 15 May 2020
    • Jeff Schwartz United States
    • Brad Denny United States
    • David Mallon United States
    • Yves Van Durme Belgium
    • Maren Hauptmann Germany
    • Ramona Yan China
    • Shannon Poynton United States
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      • Yves Van Durme Belgium
      • Maren Hauptmann Germany
      • Ramona Yan China
      • Shannon Poynton United States
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    • Current drivers
    • Our 2020 perspective
    • Learning by example
    • Pivoting ahead

    Over the past decade, leaders have faced an increasing need to grapple with tough ethical issues posed by the future of work. The question to ask: not just “could we,” but also “how should we.”

    2021 Global Human Capital Trends

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    As the future of work rapidly evolves, and organizations are integrating people, technology, alternative workforces, and new ways of working, leaders are wrestling with an increasing range of resulting ethical challenges. These challenges are especially pronounced at the intersection between humans and technology, where new questions have risen to the top of the ethics agenda about the impact of emerging technologies on workers and society. How organizations combine people and machines, govern new human-machine work combinations, and operationalize the working relationship between humans, teams, and machines will be at the center of how ethical concerns can be managed for the broadest range of benefits. Organizations that tackle these issues head-on—changing their perspective to consider not only “could we” but also “how should we”—will be well positioned to make the bold choices that help to build trust among all stakeholders.

    The Readiness Gap: Seventy-five percent of organizations say ethics related to the future of work are important or very important for their success over the next 12 to 18 months, but only 14 percent say they are very ready to address this trend.

     

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    Current drivers

    Ethical concerns are front and center for today’s organization as the nature of work, the workforce, and the workplace rapidly evolve. Eighty-five percent of this year’s survey respondents believe that the future of work raises ethical challenges—but only 27 percent have clear policies and leaders in place to manage them. And managing ethics related to the future of work is growing in importance: More than half of our respondents said that it was either the top or one of the top issues facing organizations today, and 66 percent said it would be in three years.

    When we asked our respondents what was driving the importance of ethics related to the future of work, four factors rose to the top: legal and regulatory requirements, rapid adoption of AI in the workplace, changes in workforce composition, and pressure from external stakeholders (figure 1).

    The leading driver that respondents identified was legal and regulatory requirements. Given that there is often a lag in laws and regulations relating to both technology and workforce issues, this perception is surprising. Granted, there has been some activity on this front within the European Union: In February 2019, the European Parliament adopted a resolution framing European industrial policy on AI and robotics, aiming to encourage the establishment of laws that would promote “ethical by design” technologies.1 There has also been some state and city legislation in the United States, including California’s 2019 law requiring hiring entities to treat gig workers as employees instead of contractors.2 However, outside a few moves such as these, policy changes have been slow in coming.

    Respondents identified four major drivers of the increasing important of ethics in the future of work

    The pressure on ethics created by the rapid adoption of AI in the workplace, however, is much more understandable. AI and other technologies make ethics in the future of work, specifically, more relevant because the proliferation of technology is driving a redefinition of work. Perhaps the issue that has attracted the most attention in this regard is the question of how technology affects the role of humans in work. While our survey found that only a small percentage of respondents are using robots and AI to replace workers, headlines of the forthcoming “robot apocalypse” continue to capture global attention and raise concern. Organizations that are implementing technologies that drive efficiencies can expect to make decisions whether and how to redeploy people to add strategic value elsewhere, and what, if they decide to eliminate jobs, they will do to support the workers thus displaced.

    As technology becomes more embedded into work, its design and use needs to be assessed for fairness and equity. Organizations should consider questions such as whether their applications of technology decrease or increase discriminatory bias; what procedures they have to protect the privacy of worker data; whether technology-made decisions are transparent and explainable; and what policies they have in place to hold humans responsible for those decisions’ outputs.3

    The third driver of ethics’ importance in the future of work cited most often by respondents is changing workforce composition, which raises issues about the evolving social contract between the individual and the organization and the organization and society. The growth of the alternative workforce is one major phenomenon contributing to these concerns. The number of self-employed workers in the United States is projected to hit 42 million this year,4 and in Britain, the gig economy has more than doubled from 2016 to 2019 to encompass 4.7 million workers.5 “Invisible labor forces” are being exposed in the recent research by Mary Gray and Siddarth Suri’s Ghost Work: How to Stop Silicon Valley from Building a New Global Underclass, which talks about the unsavory working conditions of many workers performing the high-tech piecework (e.g., labeling data, captioning images, flagging X-rated content, and so on) that powers automation and AI.6 The fast growth of this workforce segment is calling to attention related ethical concerns, including alternative workers’ access to fair pay, health care, and other potential benefits.

    A red flag on the alternative workforce

    Our 2020 Global Human Capital Trends survey revealed a critical concern: Organizations may be failing to recognize the importance of alternative workers, even as this workforce segment rapidly grows. Twenty-five percent of organizations consider the treatment of alternative workers as a top ethical concern. Just 21 percent of organizations say their well-being strategy includes alternative workers. And when it comes to how the changing nature of work affects compensation strategies, only 13 percent of respondents expect growth of unregulated work to have the most impact, and only 21 percent expect the growth of the alternative workforce to have the most impact.

    In this year’s survey, in looking ahead at the next 10 years, 80 percent of respondents rated “the radical shift in work, careers, and jobs due to AI and new employment models,” as important. But only 45 percent of respondents said they are prepared for this shift—the lowest preparedness score for any of the issues we surveyed as emerging challenges in the next 10 years.

    In last year’s report, we called for organizations to shift from a transactional view of the use of the alternative workforce to a holistic and strategic approach that can access and optimize this critical and growing source of talent. This year, we warn organizations not to overlook this growing portion of the workforce, which is critical to talent strategies. The ability to effectively tap into the alternative workforce can help organizations access scarce capabilities in rapidly changing work and job markets. Just as important, an organization’s approach to alternative workers can have a positive (or negative) impact on employment brand.

    Considering that one in five of our respondents said that they expect alternative work models will have the greatest impact on HR models in the next 12–18 months, this is an area where leaders will likely need to focus more attention.

    The final major driver of ethics’ importance in the future of work is that organizations are facing pressure from customers, investors, and other external stakeholders to act responsibly on ethical issues, even those that do not affect business operations—including issues such as access to health care, rising inequality, and climate change. Organizations are being called upon to address these challenges from a future-of-work perspective by designing work in innovative ways that can help ameliorate related concerns.

    What is also interesting is that one major stakeholder group, the board of directors, is not generally weighing in on these issues, as only 12 percent of our respondents felt that board and C-suite pressure was driving a focus on ethics in the future of work. This finding is somewhat worrisome, as boards and leaders must set the right “tone at the top” for organizations to make ethics in the future of work a priority.

    Our 2020 perspective

    These drivers are shaping a number of specific ethical challenges related to the future of work, which can suggest an actionable agenda for addressing these issues. Yet respondents also overwhelmingly indicated that their organizations were not ready to manage these ethical challenges, with only between 8 and 19 percent saying their organization was “very ready” for any given issue.

    A closer look at our respondents’ views on organizational readiness reveals an interesting insight: Organizations are the least prepared to handle ethical dilemmas in areas where humans and technology intersect. By far, the most organizations reported they were prepared to handle the technology-focused issue: maintenance of privacy and control of workers’ data. Next came issues that are distinctly human, such as fairness of pay, the design of jobs for sustainability, and treatment of alternative workers. But in matters where humans and technology converge—automation, use of AI, and use of algorithms—many organizations appear woefully unprepared (figure 2).

    Organizations felt least ready to address ethical challenges involved the intersection of people with technology

    We believe this gap has much to do with the broader tendency for organizations to treat technology and humanity as distinct paths with their own programs, processes, and solutions. Now, as boundaries blur between humans and machines, organizations are not ready to address the two paths together. These questions at the intersection of humanity and technology—how individuals are being monitored, how decisions are being made on their behalf, or how their jobs may be affected or eliminated—are very personal. And once the challenges become personal, organizations are finding themselves unprepared to meet them.

    In the face of increasing ethical challenges, we believe that organizations must make intentional and bold choices. Those choices should be framed by a change in perspective: a shift from asking only “could we” to also asking “how should we” when approaching new ethical questions. By considering the broader implications of and an expanded focus on how to integrate teams, people, and technology, organizations can evolve an ethical approach to the future of work that goes beyond an assessment of technological feasibility to consider technology’s impact on humans and business results.

    Ethics through the years in Global Human Capital Trends

    Over the past decade, HR and organizational leaders have increasingly grappled with tough ethical issues posed by the future of work. Our 2011 discussion on “Leading in a regulated world: All risk, all the time” explored ethics in the context of risk management, discussing ways that organizations could give workers a clear process for raising ethical concerns and create a culture that supports ethical behaviors. By 2019, leaders were taking a much broader perspective on ethics, with 37 percent of our survey respondents worried about their organizations’ ability to create trust with stakeholders, and 60 percent worried about their workers’ perception of organizational transparency. This year’s ethics discussion extends the conversation even further, challenging leaders to consider a new perspective that allows them to resolve seeming trade-offs related to the intersection of humans and technology at work.

    In figure 3, we show the power of this shift in perspective as it relates to the three areas where organizations were “least ready” to address ethical concerns in this year’s survey.

    Ethics are often most challenging at the intersection of humans and technology

    Learning by example

    Stakeholder pressures are prompting organizations to act on the ethics question. Survey respondents from leading ethical organizations12 are more likely to say the increased importance of ethics is driven by direction from their boards and leaders, legal and regulatory requirements, and pressure from external stakeholders.

    One way some organizations are responding is to create senior executive positions with a specific focus on driving ethical decision-making across the organization.13 Beyond traditional chief ethics and compliance officer roles, these organizations are formalizing responsibility for ethics around specific future-of-work domains such as AI. In 2019, Salesforce hired its first Chief Ethical and Humane Use officer to ensure that emerging technologies were being implemented ethically in the organization and to help Salesforce use technology in a way that “drives positive social change and benefits humanity.”14

    Some organizations are also addressing ethics issues by using new technologies in ways that can have clear benefits for workers themselves. For example, the technology company Drishti designs and implements solutions that combine AI and computer vision technologies to measure manual processes and associated tasks performed by human workers on a manufacturing line in near-real time. The technology gives workers access to robust training information, supports safer work habits to reduce workplace injuries, and provides feedback and rewards for individual contributions on the line—all things that have historically been challenging in a fast-moving manufacturing environment. While observing people in near-real time at work could be seen as a violation of personal privacy, Drishti addresses those concerns head-on by bringing workers into the conversation early, showing them the angle of the cameras and emphasizing the focus on the process, not the individual. The company reports that when this is done, workers almost immediately “see the value of the technology and its potential to improve their lives and secure their jobs, and they’re on board and excited.”15 The aim of the technology—improving the human experience through process analysis, measurement, and insights—sets a clear and ethical case for its use, a case that benefits the company and, just as importantly, the line associate.

    Pivoting ahead

    In an age when more people trust their employers to do what is right than trust governments, nongovernmental organizations, the media, or even business in general,16 it is incumbent upon organizations to address challenging ethical questions in all aspects of the future of work. Rather than reacting to ethical dilemmas as they arise, those who wish to lead on this front will anticipate, plan for, and manage ethics as part of their strategy and mission, focusing on how these issues may affect stakeholders both inside and outside the enterprise. The challenge is to move beyond the view that ethical issues must involve trade-offs and competition, and to focus on how to operationalize and govern the combination of humans, machines, and algorithms working as a team. This can enable organizations to harness the power of humans and technology together to truly operate as a social enterprise.

    Acknowledgments

    The authors would like to thank Catherine Bannister, Jim Guszcza, Carol Lambert, Damien Ribon, and Epstein Becker & Green, P.C. for their contributions to this chapter.

    Cover image by: Matthieu Forichon

    Endnotes
      1. Bertrand Liard and Clémentine Durney, “The European strategy of regulation on artificial intelligence,” White & Case LLP, August 29, 2019. View in article

      2. Kate Conger and Noam Scheiber, “California bill makes app-based companies treat workers as employees,” New York Times, September 11, 2019. View in article

      3. Deloitte, Trustworthy Artificial Intelligence (AI)™: Navigating complexity of AI ethics, accessed March 11, 2020. View in article

      4. Lawrence F. Katz and Alan B. Krueger, “The rise and nature of alternative work arrangements in the United States, 1995–2015,” ILR Review 72 no. 2 (2019): pp. 382–416. View in article

      5. Richard Partington, “Gig economy in Britain doubles, accounting for 4.7 million workers,” Guardian, June 27, 2019. View in article

      6. Mary L. Gray and Siddharth Suri, Ghost Work: How to Stop Silicon Valley from Building a New Global Underclass (Boston, MA: Houghton Mifflin Harcourt, 2019). View in article

      7. Institute for Women’s Policy Research, “Women, automation, and the future of work,” 2019. View in article

      8. Ivan Manokha, “New means of workplace surveillance,” Monthly Review 70, no. 9 (February 2019). View in article

      9. Pew Research Center, “More worry than enthusiasm about the prospect of computers making hiring decisions,” October 3, 2017. View in article

      10. Forbes Human Resources Council, “The rise of AI in HR: Nine notable developments that will impact recruiting and hiring,” November 28, 2018. View in article

      11. Brian Gallagher, “The problem with hiring algorithms,” EthicalSystems.org, December 1, 2019. View in article

      12. We defined “leading organizations” as those that have clear policies and processes in place to manage ethics in the context of the future of work. View in article

      13. Jeanne Sahadi, “When your job is to teach corporations to do the right thing,” CNN, June 26, 2019. View in article

      14. Rosalie Chan, “Salesforce is hiring its first Chief Ethical and Humane Use officer to make sure its artificial intelligence isn’t used for evil,” Business Insider, December 16, 2018. View in article

      15. Conversations with Drishti leaders by the authors. View in article

      16. Edelman, 2019 Edelman trust barometer, 2019. View in article

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    Jeff Schwartz

    Jeff Schwartz

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    Jeff Schwartz, a principal with Deloitte Consulting LLP, is the US leader for the Future of Work and author of Work Disrupted (Wiley, 2021). Schwartz is an adviser to senior business leaders at global companies, focusing on workforce and business transformation. He is the global editor of the Deloitte’s Global Human Capital Trends report, which he started in 2011.

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    Brad Denny

    Brad Denny

    Brad Denny, a principal with Deloitte Consulting LLP, leads Deloitte’s US Human Capital practice for the power and utilities industry and coleads the 2019 Global Human Capital Trends report. With almost 25 years of transformation, leadership, talent, and strategy experience, Denny has helped organizations navigate large-scale transformations in the United States, Canada, United Kingdom, Japan, and Poland.

    • braddenny@deloitte.com
    David Mallon

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    David, a vice president with Deloitte Consulting LLP, is Chief Analyst and market leader for Deloitte’s Insights2Action team. He and the Insights2Action team help clients to sense, analyze, and act—with purpose and precision—at the ever shifting intersection of work, workforce, workplace, and industry. Part of Deloitte since 2013, David is the former Head of Research for Bersin. He brings more than 20 years of experience in human capital and is a sought-after researcher, thought leader, and speaker on organization design, organizational culture, HR, talent, learning, and performance. David is an author of Deloitte’s annual Global Human Capital Trends study and a co-host of the Capital H podcast.

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    Yves Van Durme

    Yves Van Durme

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    Yves Van Durme is a partner with Deloitte’s Belgian consulting practice and the global leader of Deloitte’s Strategic Change practice. He specializes in leadership and organizational development, as well as talent and HR strategy, in business transformation contexts. Van Durme has more than 20 years of experience as a consultant, project manager, and program developer on human capital projects for multiple European, Japanese, American, and Belgian multinationals; family businesses; and small and mediumsize enterprises.

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    Maren Hauptmann

    Maren Hauptmann

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    Maren Hauptmann is the German Human Capital leader and Organization Transformation offering leader. Hauptmann has 21 years of experience in strategy and human capital consulting across multiple industries and has supported German, European, and global companies in large organizational, digital, and cultural transformations.

    • mahauptmann@deloitte.de
    Ramona Yan

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    Ramona Yan is the Human Capital consulting leader for Deloitte China. She has over 20 years’ experience in organizational transformation and HR strategies in advisory and operational roles with leading multinationals and state-owned enterprises in China and Asia, in industries such as financial services, real estate, manufacturing, consumer, retail, education, and pension plans. Yan is a frequent speaker at public conferences on organization transformation and human capital trends and strategies.

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    Shannon Poynton is a manager in Deloitte Consulting LLP’s Human Capital practice with nearly 10 years of experience advising global clients on complex organization, workforce, culture, and strategic change solutions. In addition to co-authoring the report, Poynton was Global Human Capital Trends’ 2020 program manager and coordinated the design and delivery of this year’s survey and report.

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