Q1 2025 Emerging Retail & Consumer Trends has been saved
Perspectives
Q1 2025 Emerging Retail & Consumer Trends
A look at the latest retail trends including the rise of in-house resale channels, DTC’s new retail model, and a shift in alcohol consumption.
In Q1 2025, the retail and consumer products industries continue to navigate shifts driven by the changing economic and consumer landscape. In this report, we examine three trends: the rise of in-house resale channels, DTC’s new retail model, and the era of consumers drinking less.
In Q1 2025, the retail and consumer products industries are navigating significant shifts driven by economic and consumer behavior changes. This report discusses three key trends, including brands launching in-house resale channels to capture the growing resale market and appeal to eco-conscious Gen-Z consumers, DTC brands such as Oura and Glossier partnering with traditional retailers to address profitability challenges and meet consumer expectations for omnichannel experiences, and finally, a shift towards reduced alcohol consumption and the subsequent rise in brand innovations in the health-conscious and zero-proof spaces.
Our report looks at three notable trends:
- The rise of in-house resale channels
- The evolution of pure-play DTC
- A new era of drinking less
Trend 1: Resale reimagined—The rise of in-house resale channels
As the resale market continues to expand in the US, brands are increasing their control over this market by establishing their own in-house resale channels. Companies including Levi’s, Zara, and Lululemon, added sections of their website devoted to “second hand”, “pre-owned”, or “like new” merchandise.
Most often, resale is seen in product categories such as higher-priced fashion, accessories, and technology1. As of 2025, 153 US fashion brands have resale listings on their e-commerce sites, marking a 325% increase since 2021. Further, a recent survey by Fashion Dive of the top 50 fashion brands2 in the US found that executives at 74% of companies that do not already offer an in-house resale channel are considering adding one.
Venture capital investments further underscore the potential long-term value of this trend. In January 2025, Archive, a software company that helps brands such as The North Face launch their own in-house resale channels, announced that they had raised $30M in series B funding3, which will be used to continue to drive profitable in-house resale.
The growth of in-house resale is largely driven by the growth of the broader resale market, which is projected to reach $73B by 20284, up 217% since 2023. As Thomas Robertson, former dean of Wharton, said, brands are offering in-house resale because “If they don’t sell their own used products, someone else will”1.
Offering in-house resale is an excellent opportunity for companies to appeal to Gen-Z, who now account for 40% of US consumers5. Environmental sustainability continues to be a top concern6 for Gen-Z and Millennials, with 64% of Gen-Z6 being willing to pay more for environmentally sustainable products.
Across income groups, shoppers are switching to discount retailers7 and seeking out private label and dupe products, signaling shoppers’ interest in purchasing more affordable options. Additionally, two-thirds of retail executives surveyed7 expect consumers to continue shopping more frequently with smaller basket sizes, given their focus on necessities and tighter budgets. These trends highlight an economic environment favorable to more affordable resale options.
Furthermore, in-house resale helps companies both maintain and attract customers. Existing customers appreciate that in-house resale retains the brand image, experience, and exclusiveness that may be lost through 3rd party resale platforms8. New customers are attracted by the cheaper resale options and will eventually “trade up”1 as they develop brand loyalty.
Trend 2: Pure-play DTC may not be so pure anymore
Direct-to-consumer (DTC) brands introduced a new retail model by selling directly to customers, bypassing traditional wholesale channels. This model avoids high retail markups, allowing for better quality of service and more affordable prices. Engaging directly with customers online allows DTC brands to control their messaging and collect valuable data for smarter product strategies. By building authentic brand identities, DTC companies had the potential to effectively compete with established legacy corporations12. Popular DTC brands achieved billion-dollar valuations at their initial public offerings (IPOs), highlighting the potential upside of DTC models despite their sector-specific complexities. These landmark IPO valuations showed strong investor confidence in the long-term growth of DTC brands, which, supported by $643 billion in venture capital in 2021, were set to revolutionize the retail industry.
However, investors are now expressing concerns regarding the true profitability of "pure-play" DTC. According to a recent CNBC study, of the 22 publicly traded DTC companies, more than half have seen a decline of 50% or more in their stock price since going public13. This decline signals waning investor confidence, prompting once-dominant brands to reassess their business models. To help ensure long-term growth and competitiveness, DTC brands are now considering more traditional retail strategies.
DTC brands are facing growing challenges related to sustainability and profitability. Many argue that the initial novelty of the DTC model has waned, and consumers now anticipate finding their preferred products in the major retail stores where they normally shop. While adapting to shifting customer preferences, DTC brands must also contend with rising customer acquisition costs across all platforms, which are estimated to have increased by 25-40%, depending on the channel14. As the retail industry navigates the aftermath of COVID-19's digital golden age, brands that previously relied on "pure-play" DTC may need to pivot to survive, diversifying their sales channels and leveraging traditional retail partnerships.
However, DTC brands often face several challenges when moving to retail shelves. Retailers base stocking decisions on sales velocity; slower-moving, less-known items risk losing shelf space. Additionally, each retailer has unique margin expectations, making it crucial for DTC brands to choose the right partners. Major retailers like Target offer accelerator programs to help DTC brands transition to wholesale. Retailers benefit from partnering with DTC brands by offering differentiated product assortments, which can attract and retain customers.
Trend 3: Cheers to change—The new era of drinking less
Alcohol has long been considered an essential staple in social gatherings, celebrations, and quiet evenings at home. Whether it's wine with dinner, beer at a sporting event, or cocktails at a party, drinking is intertwined with many American adults’ diet and lifestyle, despite its known health impacts. On average, 63% of Americans report drinking each year15; in 2022, Americans reported consuming 4 drinks a week.
In January, however, the United States Surgeon General16 released a landmark Advisory calling for brands to update alcohol labels to include warnings linking the consumption of alcohol with various types of cancer17. This significant announcement underscores the urgency of the public health challenge18, akin to the 1964 Surgeon General’s report on smoking.
Even before the warning, alcohol consumption habits were shifting. Alcohol sales volume dropped nearly 3%19 in the first half of 2024 compared to the same period in 2023, with a decline observed across all major alcoholic beverage categories (wine, beer, spirits). Industry giants also faced significant losses; Remy Cointreau reported a near 16% decrease in sales20 in in the first half of 2024, while LVMH’s Wine & Spirits group saw an 8% decline in revenues in 202421.
This drop in alcohol consumption aligns with a broader trend of Americans, especially younger generations, who have become more drinking-averse. A 2023 Gallup poll22 revealed that 62% of adults under 35 reported drinking alcoholic beverages in 2021 through 2023, down 2% from a decade ago and 10% from two decades ago.
A contributing factor to this phenomenon is the rising belief that alcohol consumption may not be as healthy as once thought. A 2025 CNN poll23 found that 8% of American adults believe moderate consumption (one to two drinks a day) is good for health, down 25% from a 2007 Gallup poll. Most notably, 78% of these respondents claimed they were not even aware of the Surgeon General’s Advisory when submitting their responses.
Additionally, there has been a measurable rise in the popularity and availability of non-alcoholic or zero-proof beverages (e.g., alcohol free substitutes for traditional drinks such as beer, wine, spirits) In 2023, US non-alcohol drink sales were $565M24, a 35% increase from the year prior. This popularity has also been fueled by celebrity founders24; Tom Holland, Lewis Hamilton, Katy Perry and Bella Hadid have all debuted their own non-alcoholic beverage lines.
Traditional beverage giants are noticing these trends; non-alcoholic versions of some of the most popular beers, such as Heineken24, are available for sale, and brands are not afraid to showcase them25 even during the Super Bowl, a day historically dominated by alcoholic advertisements. Non-alcoholic beer is considered to the be most flavorfully similar to traditional beer26 due to its lower alcoholic content, likely driving its presence as the most popular zero-proof beverage alternative26.
When asked about their drinking habits in 2025, 49% of Americans27 claim they plan to drink less in 2025, up 8% from 2024. Unsurprisingly, Gen Z (adults aged 18 - 28) is at the forefront; nearly 66% say they plan to drink less in 2025, and 39% say they plan to adopt a dry lifestyle in 2025.
Acknowledgments: The authors would like to thank Carol Cui, Jamie Curran, Sylvie Wallin, Meera Bathwal, Ari Haygood, Vishal Vardhineedi for their contributions.
1. Thomas S. Robertson, “The Resale Revolution,” Harvard Business Review, December, 2023.
2. Lauren Schenkman, "US secondhand market projected to reach $73B by 2028: report," Fashion Dive, March 27, 2024.
3. "Archive Raises $30 Million in Series B Funding to Drive Profitable Resale for Brands," Business Wire, February 4, 2025.
4. Tatiana Walk-Morris, "ThredUp: US secondhand market to hit $73B by 2028," Retail Dive, March 27, 2024.
5. Jeff Fromm, "Five Undeniable Truths About Marketing To Gen-Z," Forbes, January 7, 2021.
6. "2024 Gen Z and Millennial Survey," Deloitte, 2024.
7. Daniel Edsall, Doug Oliver, and Lupine Skelly, "2025 US Retail Industry Outlook," Deloitte, January 21, 2025.
8. Samantha Dersarkissian, "Third-Party Resale Marketplaces Pose a Bigger Threat Than Brands Think," Trove, August 22, 2022.
9. Andrew Adam Newman, "Most consumers think resale items are better quality than new ones," RetailBrew, November 5, 2024.
10. Olivia Rockeman, "Five Reasons Brands Should Launch Resale in 2025," Archive, January 24, 2025.
11. "The Ultimate 2025 Guide for Post-Holiday Resale: Turning Returns and Overstock into Revenue for Apparel Brands," Treet, December 4, 2024.
12. Tom Foster, "Over 400 Startups Are Trying to BEcome the Next Warby Parker. Inside the Wild Race to Overthrow Every Consumer Category," Inc, May, 2018.
13. Devan Burris, "Why direct-to-consumer darlings such as Casper, Allbirds and Peloton are now struggling," CNBC, February 10, 2024.
14. Anna Hensel, "DTC Briefing: How brands like Kopari Beauty, Olipop and more are rethinking their marketing operations as they scale," ModernRetail, August 27, 2024.
15. "What Percentage of Americans Drink Alcohol?," Gallup, December 29, 2022.
16. "Alcohol and Cancer Risk The US Surgeon General's Advisory," US Department of Health & Human Services, 2025.
17. Todd Neff, "The truth about drinking alcohol. Is it healthy?," UCHealth, January 13, 2025.
18. "Social Media and Youth Mental Health: The U.S. Surgeon General’s Advisory [Internet]," Office of the Surgeon General, 2023.
19. "IWSR’s new Navigator data shows declines continue as US awaits alcohol market recovery," IWSR, September 25, 2024.
20. "RÉMY COINTREAU HALF-YEAR FINANCIAL REPORT," Rémy Cointreau, 2024-2025.
21. Fernanda Tronco, "LVMH delivers concerning news about the future of alcohol," The Street, January 29, 2025.
22. Lydia Saad, "Young Adults in U.S. Drinking Less Than in Prior Decades," Gallup, August 22, 2023.
23. Deidre McPhillips, "Is drinking alcohol bad for your health? New dietary guidelines will weigh risks and benefits," CNN, January 24, 2025.
24. Iwan Thomas, "Beyond Dry January: The Rise of the Low and Non-Alcoholic Beverage Sector," Charles Russell Speechlys, February 6, 2025.
25. Angela Barbuti, "Non-alcoholic beer gets own, hilarious Super Bowl commercial as sales surge," Yahoo, February 8, 2025.
26. Jing Feng and Christine Romans, "Nonalcoholic booze scores big ahead of the Super Bowl," NBC News, February 8, 2025.
27. Mike Snider, "What will we be drinking in 2025? Americans are chasing moderation," USA Today, January 21, 2025.
28. Lauren Sabetta, "Functional beverage market expands to meet consumer expectations," Beverage Industry, December 9, 2024.
29. "Functional Beverages Market is Poised to Register 5.9% CAGR from 2021 to 2030," OpenPR, February 12, 2025.
30. "Video: How a Brand Selling Plain Water Notched a $1.4 Billion Valuation," The Wall Street Journal, December 12, 2024.
31. Noah Sheidlower, "Millennials and Gen Z are driving demand for experiences. It could be a great industry to stake your career on," Business Insider, November 20, 2023.
32. "New Partnership Brings Athletic Brewing Company's Non-Alcoholic Brews to 100+ Live Music Venues and Festivals," PR Newswire, February 11, 2025.
33. Susan Selasky, "Mockery Zero Proof in Detroit crafts nonalcoholic mocktails based on traditional cocktails," Detroit Free Press, January 30, 2025.
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