State of the US Consumer: April 2024

Financial well-being holds steady, but sticky inflation likely weighs on spending sentiment

Anthony Waelter

United States

Stephen Rogers

United States

Key insights about US consumers from Deloitte’s ConsumerSignals

Rising costs in major categories like housing could drive consumers to seek more cost-saving opportunities.

  • Deloitte’s US financial well-being index held steady at 98.7 in March, unchanged from the previous month and down slightly from 99.7 a year ago (figure 1).
  • Inflation rose to 3.5% in March due to increased monthly energy prices and elevated shelter-related inflation (figure 10).
  • Consumers’ forward-looking monthly spending intentions for housing and utilities have gradually climbed over the past year (figure 3).
  • Rising cost pressures—particularly in major categories like housing and energy—likely continue to weigh on consumer spending sentiment. Consumer monthly spending intentions remain weak across discretionary categories relative to 2021 (figure 2).
  • Decreased monthly spending intentions have been particularly pronounced in discretionary categories such as clothing (figure 3). While more moderate, decreases occur in non-discretionary categories like groceries (figure 3).
  • In contrast, leisure travel sentiment remains exceptionally strong. Leisure travel spending intentions and hotel and flight-booking intentions are even year on year, suggesting a solid summer 2024 travel season similar to 2023 (figures 3 and 4).




Notes: In figure 1, Deloitte’s financial well-being index* is measured across six dimensions of financial health: (1) confidence in the ability to meet current financial obligations; (2) comfort with level of savings; (3) income relative to spending; (4) delays in making large purchases; (5) assessment of current personal financial situation compared to prior year; and (6) expectations of personal financial situation for the year ahead. Higher index values represent stronger financial well-being. In figure 2, total spending intentions include housing (including utilities and maintenance), transportation, groceries, health care, clothing, household goods, personal care, education, internet and data, recreation and entertainment, leisure travel, restaurants, electronics, and home furnishings. Non-discretionary categories include housing, transportation, groceries, and health care. Discretionary categories include clothing, household goods, personal care, education, internet and data, recreation and entertainment, leisure travel, restaurants, electronics, and home furnishings.

Sources: Deloitte ConsumerSignals; US Bureau of Labor Statistics.
Deloitte Insights | www2.deloitte.com/insights






Sources: US Department of Commerce, US Bureau of Labor Statistics, The Wall Street Journal (all sourced through Haver Analytics); Deloitte Services LP analysis.
Deloitte Insights | www2.deloitte.com/insights

Place holder for notes:

By

Anthony Waelter

United States

Stephen Rogers

United States