How well health systems and health plans perform financially is being tested by persistent pressures such as shifting payer mix, inconsistent volume recovery, supply chain issues, and workforce challenges.1 To make matters worse, the existing financial pressures on the industry are being compounded by a challenging macro environment. The US consumer price index, a barometer for inflation, has grown more than 5%, on average,2 since January 2023. And although it is showing signs of cooling, high inflation impacts health care consumers and organizations alike.3
To help navigate these tough times, health systems and health plans should step up their organizational transformation and innovation efforts now more than ever. Transformation initiatives are important to achieving cost savings, but can also help organizations secure their strategic positioning, improve the health of their communities, and ensure future viability. As financial stewards and organizational leaders, finance leaders are generally well positioned to manage change and drive collaboration across the C-suite.
The Deloitte Center for Health Solutions has conducted research annually since 2020 that explores top-of-mind issues for health care finance leaders. This year, we surveyed more than 60 finance leaders of US health plans and health systems to understand the health care industry outlook, organizational priorities, and the top issues that CFOs are looking to solve.
According to the survey findings, finance leaders expect all major forms of health care spending to increase this year compared to last year. However, consumers and employers could be the hardest hit. Nearly 75% of the respondents expect insurance premiums to increase this year, and one in two CFOs predict increased consumer out-of-pocket costs (figure 1).
As for what will happen with health care provider rates, the respondents’ predictions diverged. While more than 60% of health plan finance leaders project that provider rates will spike this year, just one-third of health system finance leaders have the same expectation. It is possible that these findings reflect the financial outlooks of the segments of the health care industry that each organization represents since provider rates are costs for health plans and revenue for health systems.
Deloitte’s 2022 Pulse Survey of US Consumers found that inflation was affecting US consumers’ ability to afford health care. Since then, the industry’s cost and pricing issues appear to have grown. Based on findings from the CFO survey, finance leaders are still grappling with these issues—and the affordability outlook may be grim.
When asked to identify their No. 1 concern, most health care CFOs pointed to the current economic situation. While not surprising, inflationary pressure has likely brought the challenges of a cost-heavy operating model to the fore, especially for health systems (figure 2). Higher care delivery, labor, and supply costs are major factors that are structurally elevating these organizations’ operating costs.4
On the other hand, revenue growth appears to have slowed due to inconsistent volume recovery as well as changes in payer mix and care modalities. As a result, more than 40% of health system finance leaders predict that their health systems may need more than two years to reach the profit levels they generated before the COVID-19 pandemic. Health plans are in a similar situation. In fact, Deloitte’s health plan financial performance research shows that health plan profitability is at one of its lowest levels in a decade due to increasing medical and administrative costs.
For an industry in which its workforce comprises more than half of all expenses, health care organizations—especially health systems—may face unique challenges. While showing signs of improvement from last year, staff burnout and nurse shortages tend to remain issues for health systems. The CFOs we surveyed are, overall, spending more time and resources on role retention and arresting attrition, efforts that result in elevated workforce costs. This has prompted many of the finance leaders to pay closer attention to their workforce needs and look for innovative solutions such as automation, upskilling, and increased flexibility, among others.
Cost reduction has always been a priority for finance leaders. But in the current environment, it may be a greater challenge across all industries than ever before. Deloitte’s cross-industry CFO SignalsTM survey, conducted in second-quarter 2023, showed that cost reduction is the top area CEOs are asking CFOs to focus on this year. Our health care CFO survey also mirrored the trend. Three in four health care finance leaders said reducing costs is a more significant concern this year compared to previous years.
The question likely won’t be if these leaders can reduce costs and improve profitability, but rather how. When asked about factors that can help improve profitability, the finance leaders generally chose traditional ways to seek efficiencies. Health system finance leaders rated improving revenue cycle—including shorter payment times, process redesign, etc.—as the biggest driver to improve profitability (52%). For health plan leaders, improved offerings (60%) and better medical cost management (57%) were the biggest improvement drivers. In addition, strengthening supply chains was also among the top three levers for both health systems and health plans (figure 3).
Health care finance leaders may have focused on these conventional levers over the years to seek efficiencies and improve profitability. However, these traditional solutions have generally provided diminishing returns over the past few years. Moreover, to overcome the headwinds caused by the inflationary pressure and an uncertain macro environment, leaders should consider other profitability levers. Some of the levers such as digital transformation and service model optimization that may be lower on finance leaders’ radars may be more effective profitability drivers.
Enterprisewide digital transformation initiatives can help health care organizations achieve several key organizational goals. Our prior research of health care executives showed that consumer engagement, revenue growth, and cost efficiencies are among the top outcomes of digital transformation. It could be a good time to challenge the status quo of cost-heavy operating models considering shifting consumer preferences and a rapidly changing health care ecosystem. One option may be to think about optimizing service models by identifying areas ripe for business restructuring, outsourcing/offshoring opportunities, or even creating pilots using emerging technologies like generative artificial intelligence (AI).
In addition to pulling broader organizational levers to reduce costs, finance leaders are also considering transforming their own finance department. Overall, the surveyed CFOs consider finance transformation strategies such as optimizing cost allocations, cost improvement benchmarking and analytics, analytics-led cost recovery, and agile liquidity management to be key areas of focus in achieving greater efficiencies.
Both health systems and health plans are likely seeking new ways to navigate an uncertain economy, a high-cost environment, and evolving consumer needs. Some organizations may still view traditional cost-cutting strategies as a way forward. However, to thrive in the long run, health care organizations require a transformative approach that includes building new capabilities, relationships, and competencies. While potentially promising, this approach may need to take place through a series of incremental changes. As financial stewards, CFOs are well positioned to both enable and drive these transformation efforts. For a greater probability of success, they should consider focusing on:
Such transformation efforts likely won’t succeed unless finance leaders create solutions that address existing challenges related to budget and return on investment (ROI), data access and quality, and compliance/regulations. Some survey respondents shared the difficulties they face in funding transformation initiatives and in articulating the ROI. As financial stewards, health care CFOs have a key role to play in solving these challenges and in supporting their respective organization’s overall transformation journey. This could be a CFO’s opportunity to go beyond their conventional responsibilities and assume a larger strategic function within their organizations.