The Future of Employee Relationships | Deloitte US has been saved
A “thrive” mindset can help you face the uncertainty with confidence
The events of the past year and a half have given workers and organizations pause to reflect. Workers have been considering what’s most important to them, both inside and outside of work, and what they expect from their employer. Organizations have been considering their role in the lives of their workers, their communities, and society as a whole. With the worker-employer relationship evolving and in flux, we targeted our follow-on 2021 Global Human Capital Trends research to explore where it might be headed in a post–COVID-19 world and how organizations can be prepared no matter what the future ultimately reveals.
Where are we headed?
To inform this, our 11th year of Global Human Capital Trends research, we reached out to a broader audience using a mix of traditional and new techniques, including AI-enabled focus groups, social media polls, and one-on-one interviews. Along with engaging with HR and business executives across the globe, for the first time ever, we also gained perspectives from hundreds of workers.
What we found is that there is no right answer to this question of where the worker-employer relationship is headed. Most executives (86%) believe that workers will gain greater independence and influence relative to employers, a power dynamic favoring workers. A majority of workers (63%) think their relationship with their employers will either grow stronger or stay the same, a power dynamic of relative consistency or with employers continuing to have a strong say in the relationship.
With no clear future in sight, we turned our focus toward exploring multiple potential scenarios. This approach jibes with our earlier 2021 Trends research findings, which saw a tremendous postpandemic jump in the percentage of executives saying their organizations would prepare for future disruption differently. This included a nearly threefold increase in those who plan to focus on unlikely, high-impact events (up from 6% before the pandemic to 17% after) and a doubling of those planning to explore multiple potential futures rather than anchoring on one (23% prepandemic; 47% after).
Four potential futures, three potential responses to each
Ultimately, we centered on four potential scenarios for the future of the worker-employer relationship: “Work as fashion,” “War between talent,” “Work is work,” and “Purpose unleashed.”
We also considered three potential organizational response strategies for each scenario:
Because these scenarios are influenced by internal and external forces, we asked research participants to weigh in with their views on them. Most respondents (80%) consider leadership readiness the biggest internal barrier to achieving their organizations’ strategies. And of the many external factors noted (such as economic growth, the use of technology, unexpected disasters, climate change, and social inequities), two stood out as most influential and uncertain: talent supply and government impact. Their varying impact on the four scenarios is represented here:
Let’s look at these scenarios in more detail.
Work as fashion
In this scenario, the worker-employer relationship is reactive. Employers are in constant motion as they chase worker sentiments, competitor actions, and marketplace dynamics, similar to how fashion brands introduce new clothing lines. There is little, if any, connection to a sustainable workforce strategy. Even the employer’s stance on societal issues (typically focused on the hot topic of the day) is used primarily as a way to attract, retain, and motivate workers. This scenario could be the dominant one for 2021 and 2022, especially in light of the hotly debated issue of the return to the workplace.
Three potential organizational responses:
War between talent
Here, the worker-employer relationship is impersonal. Workers compete for limited jobs due to an oversupply of talent, and employers view workers as commodities: almost interchangeable and easily replaceable. Workers are more concerned with competing with each other for jobs than with the quality of their relationship with their employer. Because employers are investing less in employee development and reskilling, those employees who can afford to invest in their own development will be in a better position to win jobs and command higher compensation, fueling a widening social divide as well.
Three potential organizational responses:
Work is work
This worker-employer relationship is professional. Workers and employers depend on each other for work-related needs, while organizational responsibility and personal and social fulfillment are viewed as largely separate domains. People care about work because it gives them the means to pursue their “real” priorities and activities that give them purpose and meaning. Employers increasingly communicate guardrails about what is and is not acceptable work behavior.
Three potential organizational responses:
Purpose unleashed
The worker-employer relationship is communal in this scenario. Purpose is the dominant force driving the relationship and is critical to the employment brand. This centrality of purpose pushes organizations from shareholder capitalism toward stakeholder capitalism, where social and business concerns, purpose, and profit are equally important. Organizations may take stances on issues they otherwise may have stayed silent about in response to growing demands from workers and customers.
Three potential organizational responses:
You can’t choose the future, but you can choose your response
Which of these four scenarios is most likely? We asked the more than 3,900 participants in our recent Dbriefs webcast which scenario they believe will be most dominant in their organization, industry, or geography based on the signals they are perceiving today. Forty-one percent indicated “Work is work” as the dominant future, with “War between talent” as the second-highest option at 28% of responses.
No matter where you think your organization is headed, or the internal and external factors that may position your organization in one future versus another, we believe you should plan for them all. Adopting a thrive mindset is key to effectively navigating the relationship and strategically positioning your organization for success however the future unfolds.
Authors:
Kraig is a principal in Deloitte Consulting LLP's US Human Capital service area and serves as the co-lead of the Deloitte Global Human Capital Trends team. Kraig has more than 28 years of experience working with senior business and HR executives to transform their Human Capital strategies and capabilities to better support the business goals of the organization. Specifically supporting some of the world's leading organizations on efforts spanning the full spectrum of HR and workforce transformations; from upfront strategy development through large-scale operating model, organization, and technology implementations.
Maren Hauptmann heads the Consulting division at Deloitte Germany. She has been a partner at Deloitte for ten years. Previously, she was head of Human Capital Consulting in Germany. She is also a member of Deloitte’s Global Human Capital Executive. She is an expert in organizational design and transformation, strategic change management, strategic workforce advisory and target operating modeling. She has over 20 years of experience in advising German and international clients in various industries in the areas of strategy and human capital and has assisted companies in major organizational changes.