future-of-travel-and-tourism

Analysis

Facing travel’s future

Key forces reshaping the travel and tourism industry

Economic, social, and technological shifts are pushing the travel industry toward seismic change. Explore key changes, their implications on the future of travel, and how travel and tourism companies can undertake targeted transformation to meet evolving traveler expectations.

Adapting to today’s travelers

Travel is wired for slow changes. Given long aircraft manufacturing times and life cycles, it can take decades to roll out new technology across a fleet. Hotels can be retrofitted for new needs but have limited room for flexibility—and investment in new builds and updates is often impeded by economic conditions like interest rates. In marketing and distribution, effectively connecting supply to consumer tech platforms presents challenges with content, consistency, and bookability—all of which can defy efforts at new merchandising models. Each sector of travel contends with legacy systems that can stymie nimble innovation.

These structural impediments to change have collided with major disruption over the past two decades: shifts in who travels, where they stay, and how they book. Those changes are just the beginning. Deloitte’s Future of Consumer forecasts that the changes of the past 20 years “will pale in comparison to the paradigm shift we are about to see in the coming decade.” The six forces we identified should compel executives across industries to chart a new course and reshape businesses and our broader shared future for the better.

These economic, social, and technological paradigm shifts are pushing the travel industry toward potential seismic change. Facing travel’s future requires a clear understanding of these dynamics and an adaptable approach to meet the evolving expectations of travelers. Capitalizing on these forces and their implications will likely be fundamental to driving competitive advantage for players across the travel industry. Ignoring them could lead to a diminishing customer base, erosion of the bottom line, and missed opportunities for growth.

       Facing travel’s future

Three major themes shaping the future of travel

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The changing traveler

The demands of younger, tech-savvy and conspicuously conscious generations will steadily become more prominent than those of boomers, a lucrative segment that is beginning to age out of frequent travel. At the same time, India is joining China as a rising source of visitors. And across geographies, starker lines of affordability could tempt travel providers and investors to put all their chips on luxury, potentially causing them to miss opportunities presented by the mass market.

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Navigating climate headwinds

The travel industry’s attention to sustainability has grown substantially in recent years. Over the coming decade, even greater investment and innovation is needed as suppliers likely face climate-related pressure on three key fronts: 

  1. Demand for clear sustainability metrics and ways to mitigate and offset trips’ greenhouse gas emissions, especially from corporate clients and young travelers
  2. Growing efforts at regulation targeting travel, potentially challenging margins in select categories
  3. Accelerating impact on the viability and seasonality of some destinations due to heat waves and other extreme weather

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Exponential tech enters a legacy-laden industry

Travel providers stand to unlock significant savings and improve the trip experience by applying artificial intelligence (AI) to operational efficiencies across their organizations. And more transformational innovations are on the horizon. AI is poised to completely change travel discovery and shopping and has great potential to improve the trip experience. But to deliver functionality that meaningfully eases and enhances travel, providers will need to untangle the legacy technology that has often slowed innovation in the past, as well as committing to rigorous leading-edge data capture, curation, and enablement.

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Download our full report to learn more about these three themes.

Opportunities and challenges ahead

The travel industry is in a transformative era, shaped by demographic shifts, evolving technologies, and the pressing need for sustainability. As the baton passes from boomers to younger generations, travel providers should adapt to their digital-savvy, value-driven behavior. Rising Asian source markets add a layer of opportunity and complexity. The growing accessibility of AI, particularly Generative AI, promises operational efficiencies and a more personalized traveler experience—especially for those that can update their technology, teams, and thinking to harness it.   

However, amid these advancements, the specter of climate change looms large. The industry should not only mitigate its emissions but also develop clear, trusted standards for measuring sustainability, all while adapting to the changing desirability and viability of destinations due to extreme weather events. As the industry navigates these changes, the future of travel hinges on innovative thinking, a commitment to environmental stewardship, and willingness to invest in a better shared future.

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Get in touch

Matt Soderberg

Principal

US Airlines leader

Deloitte Consulting LLP

msoderberg@deloitte.com

Matthew Usdin

Principal

US Hospitality leader

Deloitte Consulting LLP

musdin@deloitte.com

Bryan Terry

Managing director

Global Aviation Leader

bryanterry@deloitte.com

Ramya Murali

Principal

Deloitte Consulting LLP

rmurali@deloitte.com

Maggie Rauch

Researcher manager

Transportation,

Hospitality & Services

magrauch@deloitte.com

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