Distressed

Perspectives

Distressed M&A

Finding opportunity and value amid the risks

Distressed asset deals typically come with special risks and complexities. The ongoing pandemic and economic turmoil will likely accentuate these intricacies and, by extension, could cloud the path to success. Knowing where the value in a deal lies, focusing on how to stop any meltdown of a target business during the transaction, and moving fast to address potential reputational damage can help organizations achieve success.

The new distressed M&A

Distressed asset M&A has been a popular growth path for acquirers in past economic downturns. Economic instability often means acquisitions are possible at significant discounts. Buyers can find deals that were previously too expensive or deals that may not be available in the future—now-or-never opportunities.

Distressed M&A: Finding opportunity and value amid the risks

The early stages of a new cycle of distressed M&A are unfolding.

With the economic turmoil caused by the global pandemic, many industries are under extraordinary strain. Even if the scope or breadth of the distressed opportunities aren’t fully known, smart M&A leaders are preparing. Companies that are emerging from the pandemic in a good position to thrive will be ready to make deals. It’s important to keep a clear focus on the complications and risks presented in transactions involving distressed assets. These deals can be advantageous for both the acquirer and the target, but the role of creditors, courts, and other bidders can create time constraints, restrict information flows, and interfere with due diligence planning.

M&A leaders can minimize risks in executing a distressed transaction by considering three main principles as organizations move forward in the new normal.

Know where the value lies

Successful integration requires a well-defined vision of how an acquisition target will exist within the combined entity. How will this deal create value? What risks can affect value realization? The unique circumstances of distressed assets can further complicate the thinking around value creation. For buyers to ensure a successful integration of the acquired business, they need to have clarity of purpose, stay focused on value drivers, and prepare for the unexpected.

When weighing multiple distressed assets that may be available at below book value, potential bidders can become overwhelmed. Having a disciplined approach to due diligence and integration strategy planning is critical.

Fortunately, in the decade since the last cycle of significant distressed M&A, the digital and analytical tools for due diligence and planning have grown more sophisticated. A digital enabler and various AI products can help accelerate the process of analyzing data and information to develop a fuller picture of the target business.

Once there’s clarity on why a transaction is being pursued, attention should turn to identifying value drivers. In distressed M&A, there may not be enough time to devise the complex value creation methods and business models that help traditional mergers succeed. Rather, there needs to be a rapid but relentless focus on the few activities that can create the most value—or at least stop value destruction. The identification of these value drivers can focus negotiations on business integrations and guide overall integration strategy, leading to a successful outcome.

Bankruptcy sales and other distressed transactions tend to throw curveballs. Transaction teams must be prepared to respond with speed and flexibility. Contingency planning should be par for the course. Even when transaction teams are able to develop detailed integration plans, these can be easily disrupted by the decisions of stakeholders and bankruptcy courts.

Be mindful of the melting ice cube

The timing of a distressed transaction moves at the speed of the courts. This can be doubly problematic: A compressed transaction timeline can create internal confusion and sow chaos, while an extended timeline can exacerbate a sense of uncertainty. Both can precipitate the loss of customers, suppliers, and employees—a meltdown that can threaten even a well-planned value creation strategy.

Given the complexity of a distressed asset transaction and integration, acquirers may miss the mark on determining an appropriate closing time frame. Pushing back against an aggressive close date can compromise the integrity of the deal by diminishing momentum. Similarly, last-minute changes to the close date add uncertainty and can lead to false starts. Attempting to delay a distressed close, if even possible, can also have measurable negative financial impact around asset valuation, decreased customer confidence, increased cost of business integration, and increased personnel attrition due to the overall uncertainty.

Acquirers must appreciate that the timeline to close is not the same as the timeline for integration. For this reason, it is important to mobilize planning teams as soon as an opportunity is identified. Once established, the planning teams can develop an accelerated integration strategy program.

The legal formalities that accompany bankruptcies and other distressed situations will sometimes drag out the transaction and delay the close. The loss of control over business integration and communications can alienate business stakeholders, employees in particular, as the slower pace and confidential nature of discussions often means that employees remain unaware of progress for longer than is typical in a nondistressed acquisition.

Employees need key questions answered sooner rather than later, including the following:

1. Will I have a job?
2. What will be my role in the new organization?
3. Will my compensation or benefits change?
4. Will I be relocated?

Buyers of distressed companies need to be proactive in responding to these queries. As the transaction moves forward, it may not be possible to provide all the answers employees want, but the process of listening to concerns and acknowledging them will help generate trust.

Work fast to rebuild reputational damage

The cornerstone of distressed asset transactions lies in keeping the right customers, employees, suppliers, and other stakeholders from defecting. New ownership of distressed assets may remove many issues that have held a business back, but fixing a damaged reputation after bankruptcy is often a major concern.

With a bankruptcy, customers and vendors can often be in the dark on transition plans and the impact on their interests. If not carefully managed, potential confusion can amplify their concerns, and competitors may fan the flames. Effective customer retention, brand protection, and strategic communication programs are critical to keeping customers.

Timely and aggressive communication with all external stakeholders is imperative. Distressed asset deals are often surrounded with substantial negative publicity and uncertainty. This boosts the importance of communication not just with the target’s stakeholders, but also with the acquirer’s stakeholder community. The loss of support from one or two critical parties can irreparably harm value. Special attention should be placed on strengthening essential relationships and minimizing extraneous ones.

Transparency, the reliability of financial data, and the predictability of outcomes can help to build trust and earn support among stakeholders.

In distressed M&A, cultural integration is often a more significant factor than in other deals. The acquired operation is often seen as a failure due to its financial situation. This is never the full truth of the target’s situation, and it’s more likely to be a false impression in this cycle, when otherwise strong companies have been rapidly brought to their knees by the shock of the pandemic.

Many distressed M&A deals that don’t work well flounder on the shoals of culture and an attitude of we won, you lost. Before corporate cultures can be combined, established, or replaced, it’s important to decide how much integration is appropriate. From this decision, organizational structure and leadership changes will follow, and these will facilitate integration. Management must decide what to adopt or reject from the target in order to achieve the desired culture.

Communication and actions are key to a successful cultural integration strategy because they can help alleviate the uncertainty and concern felt by employees during the acquisition. Management can foster open communication by providing consistent messages to all employees and setting balanced expectations.

Wading into the new normal

The distressed M&A cycle that’s beginning presents significant opportunities for healthy companies with the wherewithal to make deals. But it will differ in some ways from the distressed asset activity seen in previous economic downturns. The COVID-19 pandemic creates uncertainties, but it also presents new implications that must be layered on top of the considerations that come with a decision to acquire a troubled asset.

A buyer may need to be asking whether a target business’s supply chain is subject to disruption if the pandemic worsens. Leaders may need to consider whether customer behavior changes that have created a company’s distress situation are likely to be transitory or lasting. Indeed, the pandemic has created a long list of new questions that are going to apply to any M&A transaction, and these are important even when you’re paying a bargain price for an asset.

Back to top

Did you find this useful?